Oscar Predictions 2012

This is my first year to make any sort of formal Oscar predictions.  But with Gary Oldman finally being nominated for best actor, I decided that the Oscars were worth some serious consideration. Will Gary Oldman actually win an Oscar? No, probably not. Should he win an Oscar? Yeah, totally.

Oh and it may be important for me to note that I have not seen all of the nominated films. And chances are I will never see all of the nominated films. Okay, that being said and without any further ado, here are my guesses/preferences/wants/hopes for this year's Academy Award winners:

BEST PICTURE
Will win: THE ARTIST
Should win: THE ARTIST

**Should have been nominated: TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY & ATTACK THE BLOCK

BEST DIRECTOR
Will win: Michel Hazanavicius,THE ARTIST
Should win: Michel Hazanavicius, THE ARTIST

**Should have been nominated: Tomas Alfredson, TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY & John Cornish, ATTACK THE BLOCK

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Jean Dujardin, THE ARTIST
(Possible upset winner: George Clooney, THE DESCENDANTS)
SHOULD win: Gary Oldman, TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY

**Should have been nominated: Michael Fassbender, SHAME

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Viola Davis, THE HELP
(Possible surprise winner: Meryl Streep, THE IRON LADY)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Christopher Plummer, BEGINNERS

**Should have been nominated: Alan Rickman, HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Octavia Spencer, THE HELP
Should win: Berenice Bejo, THE ARTIST

**Should have been nominated: Angelica Huston, 50/50

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Will win: RANGO
Should win: CHICO & RITA (simply for its title alone)

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Will win: A SEPARATION, Iran

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
Should win: MIDNIGHT IN PARIS

**Should have been nominated: ATTACK THE BLOCK

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: THE DESCENDANTS
SHOULD win: TINKER TAILOR SOLDER SPY

BEST ART DIRECTION
Will win: HUGO

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will win: THE ARTIST
(Possibly surprise winner: JANE EYRE)

**Should have been nominated: TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Duh: ‘Man or Muppet’ from THE MUPPETS

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will win: THE ARTIST

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Will win: PARADISE LOST 3: PURGATORY
(Possible surprise winner: UNDEFEATED)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will win: THE TREE OF LIFE
(Possible surprise winner: HUGO)

BEST FILM EDITING
Will win: THE ARTIST

BEST MAKEUP
Will win: THE IRON LADY
(Possible surprise winner: HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2)

BEST SOUND EDITING
Will win: HUGO
Should win: THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO

BEST SOUND MIXING
Will win: HUGO
Should win: THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will win: RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

BEST DOCUMENTARY (SHORT)
Will win: GOD IS THE BIGGER ELVIS
(Another possible winner: INCIDENT IN NEW BAGHDAD)

BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Will win: LA LUNA
(Another possible winner: THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOK OF MR. MORRIS LESSMORE)

BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Will win: TIME FREAK

BEST HAIR (not a real category)
Will win: Gary Oldman, TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY
Should win: Gary Oldman, TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY

© 2011 Focus Features by Jack English, Gary Oldman

The only thing that I am absolutely certain of after all this is that Gary Oldman's hair is pretty great.

Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

I am not sure what I could possible say to give Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy the justice it deserves, but I feel the need to say at least something...

Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy is a damn impressive film. It is based on John le Carre’s first book in the Karla Trilogy and has been adapted and dramatized before by the BBC. Clearly the tale has some appeal. I mean, I like it. That is why I am surprised to say that while watching this 2011 version, I wasn’t overwhelmingly engrossed with the story. I was more bewitched by its ambiance. The atmosphere that I found myself falling in love with is probably the same thing that will bore the crap out of many viewers. The film has dark and wonderful cinematography and a slow but steady moving plot line. There is a smoky heavy feel to every slow moving minute. And it is topped off with perfectly chosen music which adds to the overall mystery and intrigue.

There is something quite captivating about all of the characters, or as I like to call them the tinkery-tailory-soldiery spies. The cast is a made up of Gary Oldman, Colin Firth, John Hurt, Toby Jones, Benedict Cumberbatch, Mark Strong, and Tom Hardy. Everyone in the film is pretty much known for being great at what they do and in this film everyone lives to their reputation. I have no complaints. Their mannerisms and appearances are almost hypnotizing. I was distracted by and jealous of Oldman’s perfect hair. Seriously, his hair is amazing. And his clothing, all of the clothing in fact, is flawless. The suits and overcoats are not only physically well-fitted on each of the actors, there are also well-fitted to the time period. Even more mesmerizing than Oldman’s hair and clothing was Tom Hardy’s 70s porn star hair and clothes. He seemed out of place next to all of the other key characters, but out of place in a good way.

It is clear that Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy will never be a mainstream blockbuster. It is too intricate and slow moving. But I’m glad that this film was made. It shows that Tomas Alfredson has some serious directing skills in any language. And it is an excellent example of how Gary Oldman is one of the best actors around.

We Bought a Zoo

We Bought a Zoo lacked much of anything to blow the audience away. The characters were stereotypical and the performances were adequate. Matt Damon played the single father taking care of two children and dealing with the loss of his wife. He was charming and not too depressing. Scarlett Johansson played the zoo keeper as a fairly asexual person for the majority of the film. So, that was good. Thomas Haden Church was the comic relief and concerned brother. He has a knack for making even the most predictable scripts seem better than what they are. And let’s not forget the animals. The animals were all convincing in their parts. Sadly for a movie about the purchase of a zoo, animals were not a huge focus. It is more of a people movie than an animal movie. Of course, there was one tiger that got highlighted and one Capuchin monkey that made her way into a whole lot of scenes on Patrick Fugit’s shoulder.

The most surprising thing about this straightforward film is that the moody teenage son was not required to do any chores on a broken down zoo that needed as much help as it could get. I mean, the adorable scene stealing daughter was willing to make sandwiches and label them PB and J (with a backwards J for added cuteness), but the boy was allowed to sit around all day drawing pictures. It is hard to believe, but as far as family films go that is nothing new. We Bought a Zoo would fit in great on the Lifetime Movie Network. It is a simple film designed to pull at your heart strings.

Conan O'Brien Can't Stop

Conan O’Brien Can’t Stop is a cathartic and intriguing documentary with occasional laugh-out-loud moments. Before I get into the film itself, a little back story is in order...

In early 2010 TV personality and funny-man Conan O’Brian was given a large monetary settlement to leave The Tonight Show to let the dastardly Jay Leno take the show back in one of the most awkward and uncomfortably publicized TV “conflicts” I have ever seen or cared enough to pay attention to.  As a part of the settlement Conan agreed to not appear on television until September 2010. This documentary helps fill in the gap from Conan’s last appearance on NBC’s The Tonight Show to his first appearance on TBS’s Conan. It is a behind-the-scenes documentary that shows the creative process of developing Conan's “Legally Prohibited from Being Funny on TV Tour” and follows the tour itself. I had some fears that the documentary would be a pity-party PR stunt. My fears were allayed about five minutes into the film.

The film has no real narration and very few direct questions are posed by the filmmakers, which gives me the feeling of being a fly on the wall in rooms that people like me are not normally meant to go. The high level of honesty that comes across in this documentary is what makes it work. Conan goes through a catharsis and cameras are there to capture his gory rollercoaster of emotion. He seems to have an overwhelming compulsion to be “on” all the time. He says it himself in the documentary: "I'm like tinker-bell, without applause, I die." He never seems fully happy unless he is entertaining someone. One of the ways that Conan entertained television audiences was by being fairly self-deprecating on a night to night basis and that behavior does not go away in this documentary or on this tour. If anything, it branches out in the form of Conan treating the people around him like poop as well. Watching Conan be so talented, tired, irritable, irritating, angry, funny, mean, and driven all at the same time is truly mesmerizing. Conan is real. Conan is human. Conan has issues.

I am not convinced that you need to be a Conan fan to appreciate and enjoy Conan O’Brien Can’t Stop, but it wouldn’t hurt.

Black Swan

Black Swan is predictable, creepy, and beautiful. There is an overwhelming sense of impending doom from the very first minute of the film. It falls in the category of films that you should probably be in the right mood to watch…

Ballet dancer Nina, Natalie Portman, is given the lead role in Swan Lake by the ballet director Thomas, Vincent Cassel. Thomas believes that she is perfect for the part of the gentle and graceful White Swan but he has reservations about whether or not she can pull off the seductive and sensual Black Swan. A slow mental breakdown ensues as Nina’s quest to perfect both parts of her role brings about envy, self-doubt, and paranoia. Nina is a mentally fragile woman from begin to end and she, of course, has mommy issues.

Portman is good at looking like she is about to cry during pretty much the entire film. She plays crazy well. Cassel expertly plays a talented and sexy sleaze-ball. And Barbara Hershey, who plays Nina’s over-protective and vindictive yet loving mother, steals the show. Everyone in the cast is an ideal fit in this well-directed film. Almost every piece of the film has clear intention behind it from the not-so-subtle use of the colors black and white to its slow but steady pacing. There is a lot to appreciate in Black Swan. It is obvious yet intense.

Attack the Block

Attack the Block is a tale of redemption. Well, that and a tale of a teen gang defending their block in South London from an alien attack. It may sound like kind of a silly story but the script and the execution of the story are impressive. Nothing really falls through the cracks. It is an impeccably written science fiction masterpiece. And it has more depth than I would have ever expected going into the film...

The characters in Attack the Block are well thought out and well developed. The main characters are young thugs who you are likely to despise at the beginning of the film, but after an alien falls from the sky feelings begin to change. These kids from the block become real humans for the audience. Their lines are clever, intelligent, and often just plain funny. By the end you cannot help but root for them to triumph. The story is told through amazing acting on the part of the young stars. The cast is exceptional. They are a remarkable ensemble of young actors with Nick Frost (from another recent alien related film, Paul) in the mix. First time film actor John Boyega gives a stellar performance as Moses the main character, who puts countless more-experienced young Hollywood actors to shame. And Jodie Whittaker is quite good as Sam, a mugging victim turned ally to the kids. She is just as unlikeable at the beginning of the film as the kids are, but she definitely grows on you. There are plenty of times throughout the film that it is easy to forget that she and the whole cast are, in fact, acting.

On top of all of those things, the film has great music, layout, and visuals. It is dark, in both appearance and in story line. The film is not weighed down with extensive or overwhelming CGI. The aliens, or big alien gorilla wolf monsters (as they should really be referred to), are intimidating and uncomplicated. The scenes are expertly and simply shot. And the pace of the film would have no problem pleasing even Goldilocks. All the pieces fit together. “Inner city vs outer space”...indeed. First time film director Joe Cornish has created a film that is engaging, thrilling, and strong. Attack the Block is a film that should not be overlooked.

Big

I cannot think of a better age-switching movie other than Big. (Yes, there are others.) I never let rationality or logic get in the way of the fact that I love this particular mainstream Hollywood film…

The film starts off with 13 year old Josh Baskin played by David Moscow living an average life in New Jersey. After not meeting the height requirement for an amusement park ride (and being embarrassed by that fact in front of the girl he likes), Josh makes a wish to be “big” on a creepy fortune telling machine. The next morning 13 year old Josh wakes up a grown man and is now played by Tom Hanks. His education, emotions, and experiences stay that of an adolescent but he is undoubtedly a man in his appearance. With the help of his 13 year old best friend Billy (Jared Rushton), Josh heads to New York City to figure out what to do and how to get his young life and body back.

There is something special about Big. It has had a lingering influence on me from the first time I saw it oh-so-many years ago. No, I did not want to have my body age 17 or so years in one night. I never wanted to lose my virginity to Elizabeth Perkins, nor did I want to live on my own in New York City at the age of 13. I did, however, want to have a trampoline and a soda machine in my large New York City loft. I did want to have a kick-ass job at a toy company. And I most certainly wanted to be able to openly spit out food that I don’t like at formal get-togethers.

I decided that after something like 20 years since the last time I saw Big that it was time to re-watch this film. I have to say, for me, this movie stands the test of time. I still love it. I cannot imagine that anyone could have played the adult Josh better than Tom Hanks. I love him in it. The movie itself is still fairly intelligent, funny, and inspiring. I mean, I still kinda want that trampoline…